We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Prelim Jobs, Fed Data Join Q3 Earnings Beats: Pre-markets Up
Read MoreHide Full Article
Key Takeaways
Pre-markets Get Good News from Q3 Earnings Beats, a Fed Survey and ADP Data
Case-Shiller Home Prices Slowed in August
Biggest Q3 Earnings Beats Ahead of the Bell: UPS, VFC, PYPL
Tuesday, October 28, 2025
Pre-markets are keeping the pedal mostly to the metal this morning, with most of the major market indexes higher again following record closing highs Monday afternoon. The Dow is +220 points, the S&P 500 is +7 and the Nasdaq +41. Only the small-cap Russell 2000 is lower at this hour, by -7 points.
A new Fed Survey out this morning lays out what market participants have already been trading on — up between +4.5% and +6.5% from October 11 lows, depending on the index — with a +92% chance of a 25 basis-point (bps) rate cut at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting tomorrow, another 25 bps cut at the December meeting, and — this is new — possibly another cut in January. By the end of 2026, the survey expects to see the Fed funds rate between 3.00-3.25%, -100 bps from where we are currently.
As far as he government shutdown is concerned, neatly everyone believes it will be over by the end of this month or sometime in November. Almost no one says it will go into the new year. Currently, at 28 days, it is the second longest government shutdown, behind only the 35 days during holiday season of 2018-19, regarding funding for the border wall with Mexico.
There is also a preliminary report out this morning from Automatic Data Processing (ADP - Free Report) this morning, which averages out private-sector job creation on a four-week basis. Inspired partly by the ongoing government shutdown, this is the preliminary average’s maiden voyage:
Ending the week of October 11, the four-week average in private-sector job growth is +14K — still paltry, but a meaningful improvement over a negative September average. This suggests that at next week’s monthly ADP report we’ll see private-sector jobs gains at +55K. ADP will now release these numbers with a two-week lag each Tuesday, with the possible exception of the week in which monthly ADP data is released.
Case-Shiller Home Prices Fall in 19 of 20 Cities
New August data for Case-Shiller Home Prices (these numbers, while aggressively in arrears, are routinely cited as the most accurate in the housing industry) showed +1.5% price growth year over year overall, even as prices fell month over month in 19 of 20 cities. Year over year, the 10-City composite was +2.1% (down 20 bps month over month) and the 20-City reached +1.6% (from +1.8%). Year-over-year price gains were biggest in New York City and Chicago, deepest cuts were in Tampa and San Francisco.
Biggest Earnings Surprises Ahead of the Open: UPS, VFC, PYPL
UPS (UPS - Free Report) shares are up +12% on this morning’s big +32% earnings beat, with +2.8% growth on the company’s top line. The “turnaround plan” for the delivery and logistics giant looks to be in place. Shares are still down double-digits year to date on rough terrain regarding U.S. tariff policy. For more on UPS’ earnings, click here.
V.F. Corp. (VFC - Free Report) also shows signs of a turnaround, with a +23.8% earnings beat in its fiscal Q2, on +2.8% revenue growth in the quarter. Beyond tariff issues, the Vans-North Face-Timberland parent has seen a weakened market over the past two years. Shares are up +3% in the pre-market. For more on VFC’s earnings, click here.
PayPal (PYPL - Free Report) posted a +12.6% positive earnings surprise this morning on its bottom line in Q3, with a +2% beat on quarterly sales. Sweetening this news was the unveiling of a strategic partnership with OpenAI (although who doesn’t have one of these by now? ;) ). Shares were up double-digits on the news. For more on PYPL’s earnings, click here.
Image: Bigstock
Prelim Jobs, Fed Data Join Q3 Earnings Beats: Pre-markets Up
Key Takeaways
Tuesday, October 28, 2025
Pre-markets are keeping the pedal mostly to the metal this morning, with most of the major market indexes higher again following record closing highs Monday afternoon. The Dow is +220 points, the S&P 500 is +7 and the Nasdaq +41. Only the small-cap Russell 2000 is lower at this hour, by -7 points.
A new Fed Survey out this morning lays out what market participants have already been trading on — up between +4.5% and +6.5% from October 11 lows, depending on the index — with a +92% chance of a 25 basis-point (bps) rate cut at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting tomorrow, another 25 bps cut at the December meeting, and — this is new — possibly another cut in January. By the end of 2026, the survey expects to see the Fed funds rate between 3.00-3.25%, -100 bps from where we are currently.
As far as he government shutdown is concerned, neatly everyone believes it will be over by the end of this month or sometime in November. Almost no one says it will go into the new year. Currently, at 28 days, it is the second longest government shutdown, behind only the 35 days during holiday season of 2018-19, regarding funding for the border wall with Mexico.
There is also a preliminary report out this morning from Automatic Data Processing (ADP - Free Report) this morning, which averages out private-sector job creation on a four-week basis. Inspired partly by the ongoing government shutdown, this is the preliminary average’s maiden voyage:
Ending the week of October 11, the four-week average in private-sector job growth is +14K — still paltry, but a meaningful improvement over a negative September average. This suggests that at next week’s monthly ADP report we’ll see private-sector jobs gains at +55K. ADP will now release these numbers with a two-week lag each Tuesday, with the possible exception of the week in which monthly ADP data is released.
Case-Shiller Home Prices Fall in 19 of 20 Cities
New August data for Case-Shiller Home Prices (these numbers, while aggressively in arrears, are routinely cited as the most accurate in the housing industry) showed +1.5% price growth year over year overall, even as prices fell month over month in 19 of 20 cities. Year over year, the 10-City composite was +2.1% (down 20 bps month over month) and the 20-City reached +1.6% (from +1.8%). Year-over-year price gains were biggest in New York City and Chicago, deepest cuts were in Tampa and San Francisco.
Biggest Earnings Surprises Ahead of the Open: UPS, VFC, PYPL
UPS (UPS - Free Report) shares are up +12% on this morning’s big +32% earnings beat, with +2.8% growth on the company’s top line. The “turnaround plan” for the delivery and logistics giant looks to be in place. Shares are still down double-digits year to date on rough terrain regarding U.S. tariff policy. For more on UPS’ earnings, click here.
V.F. Corp. (VFC - Free Report) also shows signs of a turnaround, with a +23.8% earnings beat in its fiscal Q2, on +2.8% revenue growth in the quarter. Beyond tariff issues, the Vans-North Face-Timberland parent has seen a weakened market over the past two years. Shares are up +3% in the pre-market. For more on VFC’s earnings, click here.
PayPal (PYPL - Free Report) posted a +12.6% positive earnings surprise this morning on its bottom line in Q3, with a +2% beat on quarterly sales. Sweetening this news was the unveiling of a strategic partnership with OpenAI (although who doesn’t have one of these by now? ;) ). Shares were up double-digits on the news. For more on PYPL’s earnings, click here.
Questions or comments about this article and/or author? Click here>>